Elena Stryukova: ‘The market situation creates the need for large logistics parks’

RSUD Plenipotentiary Representative in Tatarstan — about new trends in the warehouse real estate market in Kazan


Despite a decrease in import volumes and the withdrawal of a number of international trading and manufacturing companies from the Russian market, there is still a high demand for industrial and warehouse real estate in Kazan and the agglomeration, said Elena Stryukova, the managing partner of Perfect RED, Plenipotentiary Representative of the Russian Guild Of Managers And Developers (RGUD) in the Republic of Tatarstan. The best confirmation of this, according to her, is a reduction in the share of vacant premises against the background of an increase in supply and the opening of new facilities, as well as an increase in rental rates. The expert writes more about new trends in the warehouse real estate market in the next review for Realnoe Vremya.

Warehouses. Market Indicators

The total offer of high-quality industrial and warehouse real estate in Kazan today is 432 thousand square metres. In the first half of 2022, an increase in rental rates was recorded: average rate for warehouses in class A reached 607 rubles/sq. m a month (an increase of 16% by the end of last year); in class B — 379 rubles/sq. m per month (an increase of 5%). At the same time, rental rates for vacant premises are by 25-30% higher than the rates for concluded contracts in the same facilities, even taking into account the indexation carried out in the first half of the year.

The vacancy rate in warehouse real estate decreased to 5,2% (by 9,5% by the end of the previous year).

In the first half of 2022, the market of production, warehouse and logistics complexes was replenished with new facilities:

Warehouses. Trends and outlook

Until 2017, the demand for high-quality warehouse real estate in the regions mainly formed the segment of grocery retail. In 2019, the share of such companies in the total volume of transactions decreased to 26%. In 2020, the redistribution of demand occurred in the direction of e-commerce, the share of such companies tripled. In the future, we predict an increase in the share of demand from manufacturing companies, among which Class A warehouses are in demand, which in all respects are suitable for the placement of production facilities.

According to official statistics, at the moment data have been published only for the first four months of the year, an increase in the industrial production index (IPI) has been recorded: in Tatarstan, it amounted to 109,3% compared to the previous period. In Kazan, the IPI for January-April amounted to 105%.

Market analysis shows that in 2022-2023 the demand for warehouses will remain at a high level. The supply should also increase. According to our estimate, more than a third of transactions for high-quality production and storage facilities fall on regional markets. Experts agree that the market situation creates a steady need for large logistics parks. First of all, because of the formed consumer demand for fast delivery. It is impossible to organise it all over the country, relying only on the capacities of warehouses in the metropolitan region.

Автор: Elena Stryukova
Reference

The author's opinion may not coincide with the position of the editorial board of Realnoe Vremya.


Tatarstan

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